Nfl Week 1 Betting Odds & Analysis

With an expected return of $121 for every $100 wagered, we have the over marked as a three-star play. How To Calculate Odds With Examples Our model projects the teams to combine for 45.5 points this week. With an expected return of 22.3%, we mark the under as a three-star play. Dallas is coming off three games in a row in which the over hit. Since the start of last year, the over has gone just when away teams are in that situation. The over is just 4-14 the past 18 times that has happened, including 0-3 this year.

• Carolina’s defense ranks ninth in points allowed, surrendering an average of 20.9 points per game.
• This is fairly simple to understand once you know what the numbers mean in money line betting.
• Packers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Chicago and 20-7 ATS in the previous 27 meetings.
• In the example above, the Ravens are favored to win by 5.5 points against the Steelers.

The San Francisco pass rush is one of the NFL’s worst, ranking 23rd with 18 sacks this season, while the Jacksonville offense is one of the best at protecting the passer, allowing only 15 . San Francisco ranks fifth in the NFL at 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The Jaguars’ defense has racked up 16 sacks (fifth-fewest in the NFL).

Doc’s Picks Service

All of the Week 1 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. At BetQL we are all about getting you the best information, data, and picks as fast as possible which is why our moneyline picks are released the second the lines come out on Sunday night. If the sportsbook has a odds, lines, and a point spread our moneyline model has a pick ready. Our moneyline picks may come out as the line is released but they update throughout the week to provide you the best value. If big injury news is released or a line changes drastically our moneyline model takes that into account and the star ratings for those games will update.

College Football Game Of The Month

It is also worth noting, the Chiefs were 6-0 SU&ATS during their final six home games last season and won by an average of 12.8 points per contest. With offenses looking to jell, and defenses looking to expose their opponent offenses, we’re predicting that Pittsburgh will hang within the +6.5 point spread; a Bills victory. The Buffalo running game, which has some questions surrounding it as we approach Week 1, should be expected to take a fairly large role. The Buffalo Bills open the 2021 season at home, facing the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers. This will be the first matchup between Buffalo and Pittsburgh since December 13, 2020; a Bills victory.

Devils Vs Panthers Predictions: Expert Betting Picks & Offers

As soon as the regular season schedule is released, NFL odds will pop up all over, and these odds will fluctuate until game day. Week 1 of the NFL season is closing in, and the betting lines are fresh and being refreshed. A look at what the oddsmakers think about the opening of the 2020 season. For comparison, a same game parlay of first half Titans -0.5 and first half Arizona Cardinals team total under 13.5 has a payout of +127.

These were two of the worst offenses all August, from the games to the practice reports. Joe Burrow’s timing, accuracy and confidence all figure to be impacted by his time off recovering from an ACL tear. While the Bengals’ offensive line issues have been somewhat overblown — I’d take them over the Vikings’ line! — this is a brutal Week 1 matchup against a Minnesota front with four excellent starters, none of whom were around a year ago. Cincinnati’s defense could also be sneaky good and match up well, so I feel more confident in this being a low-scoring affair than I do about the Vikings covering three points on the road. Matt Stafford already has a decent record against the Bears from his days as a Detroit Lions quarterback.

The backfield will be a lot thinner than it was last season as Mark Ingram is now in Houston and a whopping three would-be starting Baltimore RBs were injured in the preseason. Baltimore signed free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and Le’Veon Bell in response to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down. The Ravens’ defense should continue to be one of the league’s best this season despite the loss of cornerback Marcus Peters just prior to the start of the campaign.

After opening as three-point favorites at home, the Colts are now field-goal underdogs to the Seahawks . Of course, given Indy’s preseason injury bug, this shouldn’t come as a huge surprise. Even though quarterback Carson Wentz will be good to go, the Colts’ offensive line remains ravaged by injuries. Without what was one of the best lines in the NFL a year ago, Indy could have a tough time keeping up on the scoreboard against a talented Seattle offense. The 2021 NFL season will kick off in style on Thursday night with the defending Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers in action.

The Texans are getting very little respect from the oddsmakers. Naturally, the mere fact it’s a road date against the Saints is one. Another is Miller’s injury, which an MRI has confirmed as a torn ACL. It appears to primarily be Duke Johnson’s backfield for the moment, even as the pass-catching back still gets up to speed with the playbook following his trade to the Texans on Aug. 8.